Fundamental Analysis

EUR/JPY Chart Hints Costs Could Fall as 2-12 months Downtrend Resumes


Euro could also be getting ready to renew 2-year downtrend vs Japanese YenUnfavorable RSI divergence, Night Star candlestick setup trace at topping Affirmation wanted on a break under Rising Wedge sample help

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The Euro has staged a restoration in opposition to the Japanese Yen since setting a low in early September. The transfer tracked alongside a shift away from dovish extremes on the priced-in 2020 coverage outlook implied in Fed Funds futures, pointing to an enchancment in broad-based market sentiment because the catalyst at work.

That affect right here in all probability displays ebbing anti-risk JPY demand amid cooling issues about US-China commerce warfare escalation and a disorderly Brexit. Costs at the moment are proper at resistance marking the downtrend since early 2018, when a worldwide financial slowdown began to drive unwinding of Yen-funded carry trades.

Euro vs Japanese Yen price chart - weekly

Weekly EUR/JPY chart created with TradingView

Zooming in to the day by day chart appears to disclose that the upswing could also be topping, setting the stage for the dominant downtrend to renew. The three-month rise has traced out a bearish Rising Wedge sample. Unfavorable RSI divergence hints at ebbing upside momentum, bolstering the case for oncoming reversal.

A way of urgency seems to be telegraphed within the formation of an Night Star candlestick sample squarely at pattern resistance. This means high could have been shaped already. Nonetheless, affirmation on a day by day shut under the vary ground is required to make for an actionable setup.

EUR/JPY Chart Hints Prices May Fall as 2-Year Downtrend Resumes

Day by day EUR/JPY chart created with TradingView

The outer layer of help is now at 120.56. Breaking under that sees the following draw back hurdle at 119.25, the November 14 low. Invalidating speedy topping cues requires a day by day shut above the newest swing excessive at 122.66. Neutralizing the broader bearish pattern bias requires a breach of pattern resistance, now at 124.74.


— Written by Ilya Spivak, Foreign money Strategist for

To contact Ilya, use the feedback part under or @IlyaSpivak on Twitter

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