USD/MXN Technical Evaluation: Peso Breaks Down as USMCA Lingers


USD/MXN has damaged near-term resistance, hinting at features forwardBreaching resistance close to 20.00 would mark main bullish bias shiftStalled USMCA passage may present basic gasoline for features

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The US Greenback could also be beginning the subsequent leg in a greater than two-year uptrend towards the Mexican Peso. USD/MXN bounced from assist guiding it increased since July 2017, breaking above resistance defining the nearer-term down transfer from August’s swing high.

The subsequent substantial upside hurdle traces up at 19.88, a chart inflection level in play since mid-year. Securing a foothold above that on a every day closing foundation would place the forex pair to problem resistance capping forays to the upside since June 2018.

Clearing that barrier – now simply above the 20.00 determine – could mark a serious bullish regime change and set the stage for substantial upside follow-through within the weeks to observe. Invalidating the constructive bias requires an in depth beneath the outer layer of upward-sloping assist, now at

US Dollar vs Mexican Peso price chart - daily

Day by day USD/MXN chart created with TradingView

Delaying passage of the USMCA – the commerce pact that the US negotiated with Canada and Mexico to exchange NAFTA – may effectively provide a basic catalyst for USD/MXN features. The Trump administration and Democrats within the Home of Representatives didn’t agree on a path ahead this week.

A Thursday assembly between Home Speaker Nancy Pelosi and US Commerce Consultant Robert Lighthizer was reportedly “productive”, however soundbites from the sit-down performed down the probability of a deal earlier than the calendar turns to 2020. Canada is but to ratify the deal as effectively. Mexico has accomplished so.


— Written by Ilya Spivak, Forex Strategist for

To contact Ilya, use the feedback part beneath or @IlyaSpivak on Twitter

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