Technical Analysis

AUD/USD, AUD/NZD Downtrend Might Pause. AUD/JPY Targets New 2019 Low

Australian Greenback Technical Forecast

AUD/USD continued following a bearish sample, however its descent could pause

AUD/JPY susceptible to shut at its lowest level this 12 months within the medium time period

AUD/NZD descending channel held, technical cues trace a pause in retailer subsequent

Have a query about what’s in retailer for Australian Greenback subsequent week? Be part of a Buying and selling Q&A Webinarto ask it reside!

On this week’s ballot, the highest two requested Australian Greenback pairs for this technical forecast have been AUD/JPY and AUD/NZD. Observe my Twitter account right here @ddubrovskyFX for the chance to take part in every week’s vote. There, I may even offer well timed updates on the Aussie Greenback.

Searching for a elementary perspective on AUD? Take a look at the AUD Elementary Forecast.

AUD/USD Technical Outlook:Impartial

AUD/USD prolonged its decline through the first full week of March, following obediently the trail of a bearish head and shoulders reversal sample. The pair broke via key help at zero.7054 earlier than failing to then breach the next barrier at zero.7021. The previous help space halted the following ascent throughout a rebound on Friday, introducing itself as now resistance. This establishes a brand new falling resistance line from late February (pink line on the chart under).

In the meantime, the downward-sloping neckline of the top and shoulders sample (lowest dashed purple line) held as help. Previously, every time the neckline was examined, it preceded a brief bullish reversal. This dangers being the case once more subsequent week ought to the aforementioned resistance be overtaken with a day by day shut. In any other case, an prolonged decline would place zero.6981 as help adopted by the August 2015 low. Taking this into consideration, there may be at the moment a impartial setting for AUD/USD.

AUD/USD Each day Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

AUD/JPY Technical Outlook: Bearish

I’ve been carefully following the ascending triangle in AUD/JPY which is usually a bullish continuation sample. That mentioned, this previous week AUD/JPY broke via the ground of this candlestick formation. With that in thoughts, the ascending triangle seems to be performing as a continuation sample of the prior downtrend in December. As such, the technical outlook has turned bearish.

To calculate the goal derived from the ascending triangle, I’ve taken the peak of the form and subtracted it from the breakout level on March 6. This leaves 74.45 as a tough estimate of the place costs could find yourself within the medium time period. This requires passing help at 77.49 adopted by 75.24 (early January closes). In any other case, resistance is round 79.84 which is the height of the ascending triangle.

AUD/JPY Each day Chart

AUD/JPY Daily Chart

AUD/NZD Technical Outlook:Impartial

AUD/NZD stays confined inside a descending channel, following it to realize its lowest shut in over two years! Basically, this has largely been pushed by a dismal Australian GDP report. Forward, the New Zealand Greenback could battle to realize extra positive factors towards its Australian cousin. The pair stays inside a help vary consisting of June/February 2017 lows, the outer boundary appears to be round 1.0326. In the meantime, constructive RSI divergence warns draw back momentum is fading. With that in thoughts, the AUD/NZD technical forecast appears impartial.

AUD/NZD Each day Chart

AUD/NZD Daily Chart

* Charts created in TradingView

FX Buying and selling Assets

— Written by Daniel Dubrovsky, Junior Foreign money Analyst for DailyFX.com

To contact Daniel, use the feedback part under or @ddubrovskyFX on Twitter


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