Technical Analysis

EUR/USD stays pressured as greenback holds agency, sellers search for near-term break

EUR/USD is buying and selling on the lows, testing the 100-hour transferring common

EUR/USD H1 19-02

Sellers want to recapture the near-term bearish momentum after consumers did not mount a robust problem in a break above the 200-hour MA (blue line) yesterday. Value failed to check resistance from the 12-13 February highs and the 38.2 retracement degree round 1.1340 and subsequently fell again under the 200-hour MA.

Proper now, value is leaning on a take a look at of the 100-hour MA (crimson line) the place yesterday’s low was defended. Transfer again under this degree and the near-term bias will favour sellers extra.

Ought to value break under this degree, anticipate sellers to make a run in direction of testing the lows close to 1.1250 once more. The technical bias is telling us that the commerce will likely be to go together with a break on the near-term chart and never be too grasping.

However what’s the basic image saying?

For now, commerce talks are very a lot the main target of markets however regardless of some softness yesterday, the greenback is holding on agency and it doubtless will keep that approach as talks in Washington will solely resume on Thursday.

Therefore, the 2 key danger occasions to observe will likely be tomorrow’s FOMC assembly minutes launch and Thursday’s slew of PMI information to return from Europe. As talked about since final week, the latter would be the key driver of euro sentiment this week. That stated, there’s additionally German ZEW survey information for February to observe later in the present day so that would present a little bit of a nudge for EUR/USD.

Regardless, it is all about searching for that near-term break on the chart for now.

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