Every day thread to alternate concepts and to share your ideas
Good day, everybody! Hope you are all doing effectively as we get issues going right here within the European morning session. It has been a energetic begin by way of worth actions thus far however little headlines to actually drive market route.
Nonetheless, merchants aren’t ready for that as they’re already selecting a extra “risk-off” narrative within the currencies house. The yen is main positive aspects throughout the board as yen pairs are dropping off closely following a selloff in AUD/JPY earlier after the aussie crumbled on the again of RBA Lowe’s trace that the central financial institution is popping extra impartial.
The aussie is the key laggard in consequence because it continues to droop closely towards the likes of the greenback and the yen.
It seems to be like markets can be seeking to choose the narrative of the rooster and the egg principle within the periods forward. What I imply by that’s market members can be debating whether or not the selloff in AUD/JPY is extra to do with renewed risk-off flows (not simply the RBA itself) or is it a byproduct of waning danger sentiment with US-China commerce talks nonetheless seen in limbo (that ought to’ve been priced into danger property within the first place)?
Within the case of the previous, there’s nonetheless the chance that equities may brush that apart and switch danger sentiment round however that is still extra hopeful than convincing at this level.
Both method, issues aren’t wanting too vibrant as we start European buying and selling and even when markets resolve on which must be the case, danger property aren’t going to win at present. I might count on the yen to remain underpinned forward of US buying and selling so be cautious of extensions of the strikes we’re seeing within the session forward.
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