Technical Analysis

Gold’s seasonal help could also be waning however technical indicators proceed to look stable

Gold is up by almost three% to begin the brand new 12 months

Gold D1 31-01

Quite a lot of the shopping for tends to be correlated to demand forward of the Lunar New Yr, which begins subsequent week, so the argument for that grows much less robust from now. That stated, there’s additionally a case that the shopping for extends into February as seasonal patterns point out that gold has ended February on a optimistic observe for 10 out of the final 15 years. For the case of January, it’s 11 out of 15 so February is not precisely a nasty month both for bullion.

Nonetheless, even with out seasonal help, gold has lots going for it for the time being.

Essentially the most notable of which is greenback weak point on the again of a dovish Fed. However an even bigger optimistic sign is that technical indicators proceed to carry agency. Gold fashioned a “golden cross” earlier this month in what is sort of at all times taken by merchants as a robust bullish sign and now the 100-day MA (pink line) seems to be to be transferring in direction of crossing over the 200-day MA (blue line) in what’s going to solely assist to reaffirm the bullish run right here.

Except for that, gold additionally moved above the pivotal $1,300 deal with and climbed above the June highs posted round Might and June final 12 months as patrons proceed to point out extra conviction to the upside. Value is seeking to safe a agency break above the 76.four retracement stage @ $1,316.88 now and if patrons handle to carry above minor resistance @ $1,326 I reckon the upside in gold nonetheless has some first rate momentum going for it in direction of the highs seen in April final 12 months.

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