• Dovish Fed charge hike expectations saved the USD bulls on the defensive.
• Unresolved US-China commerce disputes appeared to cap any additional up-move.
• Focus now shifts to a different spherical of US-China commerce talks/FOMC assembly.
The AUD/USD pair added to Friday’s sharp short-covering bounce from three-week lows, albeit appeared struggling to increase the momentum additional past the Zero.7200 deal with.
Regardless of a deal to reopen the US authorities after a chronic shutdown, rising market expectations that the Fed will sign a pause of their tightening cycle saved the US Greenback bulls on the defensive and pushed the pair increased at the beginning of a brand new buying and selling week.
Dovish Fed expectations have been additional strengthened by studies on Friday, indicating that the Fed is contemplating to cease shrinking its large steadiness sheet sooner than anticipated, which was seen as one of many key elements persevering with to weigh on the dollar.
The uptick, nonetheless, lacked any robust bullish conviction amid but unresolved US-China commerce disputes and therefore, the important thing focus can be on the upcoming high-level US-China commerce talks this week, which is able to play a key function in influencing sentiment across the China-proxy Australian Greenback.
This coupled with the most recent FOMC financial coverage replace, scheduled to be introduced through the US buying and selling session on Wednesday ought to present some significant impetus and assist traders decide the pair’s subsequent leg of a directional transfer.
Technical ranges to look at
Fast assist is pegged close to the Zero.7165 degree, under which the pair would possibly flip weak to slip additional in the direction of testing sub-Zero.7100 degree with some intermediate assist close to the Zero.7120 area. On the flip aspect, sustained transfer past the Zero.7200 deal with, resulting in a subsequent breakthrough the Zero.7225 provide zone, has the potential to carry the pair additional in the direction of reclaiming the Zero.7300 spherical determine mark.