Gold closes again in on final week’s excessive
Gold continues to remain underpinned as greenback sentiment stays quite fragile with the Fed audio system persevering with to take a extra dovish stance yesterday. However regardless of tepid danger sentiment immediately and the greenback considerably blended, gold is unable to completely capitalise on that in a run greater because the $1,300 deal with continues to elude patrons.
The excessive posted this yr was at $1,298.60 posted final week on four January. Immediately’s excessive reached $1,297.46 and although worth has backed off a bit, gold remains to be up by zero.2% on the day.
near-term ranges, worth bias stays extra bullish nonetheless because it trades above the important thing hourly transferring averages. Sellers tried to wrestle management twice this week however in each instances patrons managed to defend a transfer in the direction of the $1,280 deal with prior to now transferring again up in the direction of $1,300.
The $1,300 deal with was highlighted final week and the warning then was to be cautious of shopping for on the high and that is what we’re seeing proper now. The greenback could be very a lot in a tough spot proper now with AUD/USD testing the 100-day MA, USD/CAD additionally testing the 100-day MA in a single day, NZD/USD testing the 200-day MA, and EUR/USD seeking to maintain a break of the 1.15 deal with.
What that claims is merchants are on the lookout for that little nudge to go forward with these breaks and prolong the greenback weak point to the subsequent vary. And that is principally what we’re seeing in gold as nicely. A break above $1,300 will open up a transfer in the direction of the resistance swing area between $1,307 and $1,309 after which the 76.four retracement stage @ $1,316.88.
Past that, gold certain does appears to be like poised for a transfer again in the direction of $1,350 from a technical play (seasonal issue additionally supporting it) however as soon as once more, it first has to navigate via these resistance ranges beginning with the $1,300 deal with.