Fundamental Analysis

USDCAD: Lengthy Buck – Quick Loonie

Lengthy USDCAD – 1.3190

Cease Loss – 1.3100

Goal 1 (50%) – 1.3330

Goal 2 (50%) – 1.3390

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USDCAD Oversold and In search of a Quick-Time period Bounce

We glance to go lengthy USDCAD for a fast commerce with a timeframe of at some point to 1 week. The close to 5 level drop this 12 months has despatched the pair into oversold territory -the RSI indicator on the backside of the chart – and heading in direction of the 200-day transferring common (1.3135) for the primary time since late-October 2018. Just under right here, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 1.3124 provides additional assist.

To the upside, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at 1.3330 is our first goal (50%) earlier than the underside of the 20- and 50-day cloud at 1.3360 (50%).

From a elementary stance, the Canadian greenback is reaping the advantage of anticipated financial tightening in 2019, though the market is just pricing in round 11bps of fee hikes this 12 months – roughly 50% probability of a 25bp hike – whereas over within the US fee a 25bp fee hike is predicted however not till mid-year, or when/if information permits.

A excessive danger commerce which ought to be approached as such – i.e.. small measurement and a decent, assured cease.

USDCAD Day by day Worth Chart (January 2018 – January 9, 2018)

USDCAD: Long Greenback - Short Loonie

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Merchants could be taken with two of our buying and selling guides – Traits of Profitable Merchants and High Buying and selling Classes – whereas technical analysts are more likely to be taken with our newest Elliott Wave Information.

What’s your view on USDCAD – bullish or bearish?? You’ll be able to tell us through the shape on the finish of this piece or you may contact the writer at nicholas.cawley@ig.comor through Twitter @nickcawley1.


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