GBP/USD touches a low of 1.2734 on the day
Worth is now threatening a break of the 100-hour MA (pink line) @ 1.2745, which might see near-term bias flip extra bearish as soon as once more. It has been a little bit of a uneven final couple of days for cable with the Brexit rhetoric taking loads of twists and turns and the greenback itself additionally seen scuffling with fee hike bets on the Fed being scaled again.
There was a little bit of a short spike earlier in cable with worth transferring from 1.2750 to 1.2775 when the Halifax home worth information was launched. I extremely doubt it was something to do with that and there is not a lot else to learn into that apart from thinner buying and selling situations as merchants are wanting in direction of payrolls information later. One among our commenters posted a hyperlink to an FT article on the second referendum, so it might be a gentle response to that too.
Proper now, there’s loads of uncertainty clouding Tuesday’s Brexit deal vote in parliament. On one hand, there’s talks of a second referendum since in a single day buying and selling. It’s reported that Could has even known as to satisfy with aides to debate on the matter as nicely.
And alternatively, there’s talks that Could might even delay Tuesday’s vote altogether as she needs to keep away from what appears to be like to be an imminent defeat at this level. If she does resolve on this route, it might be an enormous setback when it comes to confidence in direction of the federal government however she might not have a lot else of a selection.
With a lot on the road and nonetheless a lot uncertainty prevailing, it is laborious to see the pound pull off any important positive factors. However on the similar time, sure headline dangers and talks of a second referendum helps to supply some type of momentary aid for the quid in all of this.
Anticipate worth motion to stay uneven as that is the place issues begin to warmth up and response to headline dangers turn into much more heightened. In the event you’re keen to courageous by that, then make sure to restrict your danger with technical ranges. For me, that is about the place I draw the road for cable trades for the week. Rally promoting has been rewarding over the previous two weeks however with headline dangers probably muddying the image and NFP to come back later, my take is to remain sidelined till issues turn into clearer.