Richard Franulovich, Head of FX Technique at Westpac, notes that the Nationwide Affiliation of Homebuilders (NAHB) sentiment index of US posted an attention grabbing fall to 60 in November from 68, its lowest ranges since mid-2016.
“The US housing sector has been dropping momentum for just a few months within the wake of upper charges and final yr’s modifications to the tax code which noticed the deductibility of mortgage curiosity and state and native property taxes scaled again sharply. If something it’s a shock that sentiment amongst homebuilders held at elevated ranges for therefore lengthy.”
“It’s arguably nonetheless too early to undoubtedly say whether or not Trump’s insurance policies have shifted the US economic system onto increased progress path.”
“The tentative general conclusion is that some sectors of the economic system look like stronger post-Trump whereas others are usually not. Its no shock that enterprise sentiment and capital items shipments are stronger, given the give attention to deregulation whereas the company sector obtained a disproportionately bigger share of the tax lower in comparison with households.”