Technical Analysis

USDCAD sits between MA ranges earlier than its employment report

Canada unemployment statistics

The US can be joined by Canada in releasing their October commerce knowledge at eight:30 AM ET/1230.

For Canada the expectations are the next:

Web change in Employment 15.0K vs 63.3K final monthunemployment charge 5.9% versus 5.9% final monthHourly earnings YoY 2.three% versus 2.2% final monthFull time employment change 20Okay vs -16.9K final monthPart time employment change -Four.1K vs 80.2K final monthParticipation charge 65.Four vs 65.Four final

Final month, the info on the floor got here out a lot stronger than anticipated however all of the beneficial properties had been partly time employment.  This month the expectations are for a extra regular quantity with full time jobs rebounding.  

When the US and Canada launch on the identical day, the Canada markets will be influenced by the developments within the US numbers. So bear in mind.  

Technically, wanting on the hourly chart above, the worth moved decrease in buying and selling yesterday, and in doing so, the worth moved off the very best stage since September 10th, and moved towards a cluster of shifting averages together with:

The 100 hour MA at 1.31186
The 200 hour MA at 1.3099The 100 day MA at 1.3072The 100 hour MA on the Four-hour chart at 1.30645.

That vary – from 1.30645 to 1.3118 – outline the “impartial” space for the pair into to employment report (we presently commerce close to the center at 1.3095).

Off the quantity(s) tomorrow, if there’s a clear winner and loser between the US/Canada combo (i.e. US is stronger, Canada is weaker or visa versa), the yellow are can be busted (increased or decrease). Go along with the break.  

If each are available stronger or weaker, the market could commerce between the degrees and search for the subsequent technical push in some unspecified time in the future down the street.  

The bottom line is know the expectations.  If there’s a divergence within the respective numbers, search for the break and the run exterior the yellow space.   


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