TALKING POINTS – AUD/USD, TRADE BALANCE, TRADE WARS, EQUITIES
AUD/USD rallied following the discharge of outperforming commerce steadiness information
Dominant downtrend stays intact as 2015 assist ranges might flip into resistance
Danger aversion, US employment information, and RBA November assembly in focus subsequent
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The Australian Greenback strengthened in opposition to its US namesake after native commerce steadiness information crossed the wires early into Thursday’s Asia Pacific buying and selling session. September’s commerce steadiness clocked in at A$3017m, beating each economists’ forecasts of A$1700m and August’s A$1604m. The third quarter’s export worth index equally outperformed at three.7%, in comparison with the estimate of two.2% and the 1.9% earlier. In the meantime, the 3Q import worth index was 1.9%, with anticipated 1.zero% and 2Q’s three.2%. The uptick in commerce figures might proceed, as President Trump just lately alluded to a “nice deal” with China on commerce that brought about the Aussie to briefly soar.
AUD/USD Chart (5-minute)
Chart ready in TradingView
Wanting previous the leap in costs, AUD/USD has remained in a dominant downtrend channel for almost all of this 12 months on account of rate of interest differentials and world danger aversion. The foreign money pair just lately carved a brand new 2018 low of zero.7021 and is now going through resistance at ranges that previously served as assist. An invalidation of the descending pattern line and reversal of those ranges again to assist might point out a bearish reversal to return.
AUD/USD Chart (Every day)
Wanting forward, the sentiment-linked unit will proceed to carefully eye danger traits. Continued broad-based market aversion and losses in world equities might imply additional losses within the long-run for the Aussie. As well as, AUD/USD will even be carefully eyeing the releases of US employment and manufacturing information, in addition to the Reserve Financial institution of Australia’s money charge goal at their November 6th assembly.
AUD/USD TRADING RESOURCES
— Written by Megha Torpunuri, DailyFX Analysis Staff