Technical Analysis

All good issues come to an finish. NZDUSD hits the wall

The “wall” was hit on the 100 day MA

The NZDUSD had one heck of a run increased in buying and selling on Thursday. The pair ended up transferring up about 2.18%. The vary for the day was 148 pips with the pair closing up round 140 pips. 

 

Large transfer increased on the day.

Within the transfer increased, the pair cracked above the 100 and 200 hour MAs (blue and inexperienced strains within the chart above), a topside development line. Current highs at zero.6567-72 and the October 22 excessive at zero.66098.  The October 1 excessive at zero.6628 was the following hurdle.

Lastly to show all good issues do certainly come to an finish, the pair stalled at zero.6657.  That degree is slightly below the 100 day MA at zero.6662.  Getting inside 5 pips of the important thing 100 day MA is sweet sufficient.  The value has backed off on the revenue taking/sellers towards the important thing MA.  

Trying on the day by day chart under, the final time the worth traded above the 100 day MA was again on  April 23rd method up at zero.7212.  That was some 550 pips increased.  

What now?

Effectively….The consumers/bulls now must see a transfer above the 100 day MA.  If performed, the sellers towards the MA, will doubtless flip to consumers. 

There may be room to roam on the topside. Staying on the day by day chart under, the September excessive reached round zero.6700. After that, the swing excessive on the finish of August reached zero.67259. 

In actuality, a transfer to the zero.68106 is simply 38.2% of the development transfer decrease.  That’s only a regular correction off the development transfer decrease this yr.  

What would spoil the bullish social gathering now?

Trying again on the hourly chart, longs would begin getting antsy if the worth had been to interrupt under the zero.6600-10 space.  The 38.2% of the development transfer is available in at zero.6605. The swing excessive from October 22 is available in at zero.6610.

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